The Hill and Establishment Media Create Straw Man Argument That Monkeypox Warnings Stigmatize Gay Men
Executive Summary
- Politically correct policing is in full force on the topic of monkeypox.
- The LGBTQ lobbyists pushed for a straw man argument to be made that allowed them to claim victimization.
Introduction
The high concentration of monkeypox among gay men has caused LGBTQ lobbyists to create a straw man argument that undermines analysis of how the virus spreads.
The Hill on Monkeybox and Gay Men
Three months since the first case of monkeypox was reported in the U.S., disinformation and harmful stereotypes targeting gay and bisexual men — who are most likely to become infected — continue to run rampant, causing some to worry that the spread of the disease will further stigmatize and isolate an already marginalized group. – The Hill
What The Hill calls “further stigmatizing and isolating an already marginalized group.” — is found coverage like this.
Ned Ryun made the point not to attend gay orgies. However, he was immediately called a bigot for not saying, “don’t attend any orgies.” However, given the statistics that roughly 95% of the cases are among gay men — this seems like good advice, even if it was delivered in an indelicate manner. The logic presented here by the gay panel member that not just gays but heterosexuals should curtail their gay orgies does not hold up.
Heterosexuals rarely get monkeypox, so why do they need to cut back on their orgies? It seems like homosexuals are “stigmatizing” heterosexual orgies without evidence they contribute to monkeypox.
Look at these poor gays. They are so marginalized in western societies they can’t even express themselves!
Let us Do Some Math to Determine the Incidence
There is math that these contributors, outside of Ryun, are probably not aware of. This is because the 95% figure is not close to representative in terms of how much monkeypox is a disease of gay men. This is because Gay men are not 50% of the population or even 50% of men. They are roughly 1.5% of the population.
Probability of the Monkeypox
Calculating incidence is not as straightforward as I first assume. In the first version of this article, I calculated a far too low estimate of the incidence of Monkeypox among gay men versus the rest of the population. The following analysis used Bayes Theorem to provide the incidence estimate.
[Bayes formula](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayes’_theorem) for calculating the risk of getting monkeypox if the subject is known to be gay:
, where:
$P(gay|sick)$ – the likelihood that a subject is gay if we know that the subject is sick – 95%
$P(sick)$ – percent of people in the population who are sick – ???
$P(gay)$ – percent of gays in population – 1.5%
In fact, $𝑃(𝑠𝑖𝑐𝑘)$ can be any number to compare the risk. It makes sense to use actual|real value if we need to calculate the probability of getting sick in general; in this case, we just need to divide the number of sick by the population size.
p_gay_sick = 0.95
p_sick = 0.000_001
p_gay = 0.015
Probability #1: Probability of Getting Monkeypox for Gays
p_sick_gay = p_gay_sick * p_sick / p_gay
print(f’Probability to get monkey pox for gays is: {p_gay_sick * p_sick / p_gay}’)
Probability #2: Probability of Getting Monkeypox for The Rest of the Population
p_sick_normal = (1 – p_gay_sick) * p_sick / (1 – p_gay)
print(f’Probability to get monkey pox for the rest of population is: {p_sick_normal}’)
Probability #3: Comparative Probability
print(f’Gay men are {p_sick_gay / p_sick_normal} times more likely to get monkey pox’)
In fact, the most tricky parameter here is $P(sick)$, since we can consider different societies. For instance, I don’t interact with gays in my life.
Mathematical analysis courtesy of Denis Myagkov
The results of Dennis’ calculation are and incidence difference of 1247 times.
So gay men are 1247x more likely to get Monkeypox than the general population.
There is no other way to look at that statistic than gay men are the superspreaders of the monkeypox virus. That means the risk to the rest of the population is the reverse of this – that they are 1247 times less likely to contract monkeypox. How can anyone look away from a 1247x higher incidence? However, the establishment media is not interested in presenting what is true. They don’t want the public to know it s 1247x higher among gay men. This is because the math itself is homophobic. Later I will get into another thing the CDC, WHO, and establishment media are hiding.
The question of why this would be the case should be asked. If health officials are not doing it, then public health officials a not doing their jobs.
Fox News is Too Politically Correct to Communicate Accurate Information to its Viewers?
This segment on Fox News had me realize that Fox News is now too WOKE/politically correct for me. This is not the first time that Fox has been woke. For example, Fox News loves talking about “Democrat-run cities,” entirely leaving out the fact that the most devastated and worst-run US cities are not just run by Democrats, blacks run them. The worst-run cities in the US are black-run. That is a fact. What is stopping Fox News from explaining that reality? Let us review the following table.
All these cities, which I have sorted from the “best run cities” list but looked at the bottom of the list, are black run. See the full list.
What Following the Science Should Mean
“Following the science” would mean stating this instead of hiding this fact. However, Fox News won’t touch this subject.
- This is important to stop more blacks from being elected or taking over more cities which will only result in those cities going into decline through management incompetence and corruption.
- If this is not acknowledged, there will be a higher likelihood that more cities will decline — like all of the cities on this list. Following the science often means coming to conclusions that are not politically correct and not “self-affirming.”
When people did not wear masks, the establishment media and Democrats had no problem calling them superspreaders — even though there was never any evidence for this. And most of the positive results were due to a faulty covid test that routinely produced false positives (as it was designed to do, as I cover in the article How Bill Gates Funded Science Fraud in the PCR Test Development).
However, when the superspreaders are gay men, all of a sudden, this fact can’t be mentioned. Democrats frequently celebrated when an unvaccinated person died of what was considered covid. However, there is now some overwrought pearl clutching for a relatively minor virus and the fact it is primarily a disease spread by gay sex — which has been converted into the euphemism of “skin on skin contact.” The disease predominantly affects a protected group — so now follow the science means don’t observe this fact.
And now even Fox News seems to agree. Don’t be a bigot, don’t let the 63 times factor have any impact on you.
Who Predominantly Gets Monkeypox Again?
Upwards of 7,000 cases of monkeypox have been reported in the U.S. since May, afflicting mostly men who have sex with men. – The Hill
That is interesting. But it is not “mostly.” Mostly would be 60 or 70%. For 95%, the correct term is “predominantly.”
- Because this author needs to make a case for victimization, the author does not want the reader to know the actual figure.
- So not only does the author dare not show the actual statistics, as it would undermine the fake story they are presenting, but they then an inaccurate adjective.
Not an STD?
According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), while monkeypox does spread through close or skin-to-skin contact, it is not a sexually transmitted disease. Even so, public figures — including elected officials and policymakers — have promulgated the idea that it is. – The Hill
Interesting as well.
It sounds like monkeypox is an STD. If it’s not an STD, how are all these gay men getting it? Do gay men have large Twister competitions where they take their clothes off — but refrain from sex?
Should the CDC ban this game? These girls are extremely close to getting monkeypox. This is what passes for analysis by the CDC. Gay men should not be stigmatized, but Twister needs to be banned. When engaged in by people other than gay men, Twister has an infinitesimal probability of transmitting monkeypox; however, it does lead to “skin-to-skin contact.”
And here we get to a second agenda that the health authorities have- creating a permanent state of pandemics. They tried to create a pandemic with the bird flu and several other viruses. Still, it was not until they had the PCR tests that provided explosive numbers of false positives (funded by the Gates Foundation) that they successfully created a pandemic with covid. I cover this fake test in the article How Bill Gates Funded Science Fraud in the PCR Test Development.
Testing positive for covid does not mean anything — it means that the test is positive but does not mean you have covid.
However, the covid pandemic was extremely profitable for the medical establishment. It increased the power of health authorities over countries globally — and they want and need more pandemics — which they will help create. This provides an incentive to not categorized Monkeypox as an STD. Dennis Myagkov also observes this point in the following quotation.
And in my opinion, it’s just a sexually transmitted disease that they’re trying to present as another pandemic. It would be nonsense if we had to wear masks to fight this virus as well.
You can see the information distortion by health authorities. It goes something like this.
- People who say that Monkeypox is an STD are not following the science.
- Gays are being stigmatized through bigotry — and it’s not an STD — it’s “skin-to-skin contact.”
- If you disagree with our highly biased and billionaire-funded analysis — we will stigmatize you and seek to have your content censored by Google etc..
- By generalizing Monkeypox to the overall population — this will help maximize the profits for the pharmaceutical industry. Therefore, the CDC and WHO are not “stigmatizing” that is explaining the reality of gay incidence, rather they are generalizing — but not for health reasons, but for profitability reasons (for Big Pharma) and for the purpose of keeping themselves relevant — which means scaring the general population regarding a disease of infinitesimal risk to other groups. All vaccines have side effects or adverse effects. The covid vaccines were 100% adverse effects and no benefit. I predicted the CDC and WHO will push for vaccines for Monkeypox as well.
- We need a vaccine for Monkeypox (which will be pushed through the FDA quickly and will likely not work — but will enrich our pharmaceutical donors and puppeteers.)
I wrote this last bullet point above before finding out this information.
The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) on Tuesday expanded the Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) for the Jynneos monkeypox vaccine to allow for an alternative method of injection the agency said would help conserve low supplies.
The expanded EUA also allows the vaccine to be used in children under age 18 who are at “high risk” of infection.
Prior to issuing the expanded EUA, the FDA confirmed that “numerous” children were granted access to the vaccine on a “case-by-case basis” through a special permission process — even though the vaccine was not approved or authorized for emergency use in that age group — ABC News reported on Aug. 4.
News of the potential dose-sparing recommendations prompted some congressional staff — including from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and U.S. Department of Health and Human Services — to question federal health officials about whether using the alternative injection method could affect the efficacy of the shot.
“They seemed to have no good answers for us, other than denying that it would impact things,” an individual who attended a briefing on the matter told Politico. “But they didn’t present any data.”
According to CNBC, monkeypox is rarely fatal and no deaths have been reported in the U.S. However, some patients need to be hospitalized to manage lesions, which can be painful.
Under the expanded EUA, healthcare providers can administer Bavarian Nordic’s Jynneos vaccine through intradermal injection — meaning between layers of the skin rather than below the skin — instead of subcutaneously, or beneath the skin.
The change in injection method will increase available doses fivefold — from 441,000 to more than 2.2 million — as intradermal injection uses only a fraction of the dose but provides the same protection, health officials said at a White House briefing.
“In recent weeks the monkeypox virus has continued to spread at a rate that has made it clear our current vaccine supply will not meet the current demand. The FDA quickly explored other scientifically appropriate options to facilitate access to the vaccine for all impacted individuals.
“By increasing the number of available doses, more individuals who want to be vaccinated against monkeypox will now have the opportunity to do so.”
Jynneos was approved in 2019 for the prevention of smallpox and monkeypox in high-risk adults 18 and older. The approval specified that the vaccine was to be administered subcutaneously, in two doses 28 days apart.
“There is no traditional assessment of this vaccine … because there weren’t smallpox cases, and the monkeypox outbreaks before this were not large enough to really do a clinical trial,” Dr. Peter Marks, director of the FDA’s Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research, said Tuesday. – Children’s Health Defense
The difference between the covid vaccines is that those vaccines had clinical trials, which clearly showed they did not work. This vaccine has no clinical trial at all.
“We want to collect outcome data, as we do with all vaccines,” Marks said. “And I’d also point out that the NIH [National Institutes of Health] will be mounting a clinical trial and is working through the logistics of that now.” – Children’s Health Defense
That means everyone who is vaccinated is now a Guinea Pig.
On a call with reporters, Califf said the “overall safety and efficacy profile [of Jynneos] will not be sacrificed” with a dose-sparing approach, which Dr. Anthony Fauci, chief medical advisor to President Biden, touted as a ”promising solution to the vaccine shortage.” – Children’s Health Defense
It sounds like it was already sacrificed. The vaccines were given an EUA — however, what is the emergency?
The FDA’s decision to authorize a new route of administration for Jynneos comes less than a week after the Biden administration declared monkeypox a public health emergency, allowing government health agencies to authorize unapproved medical products or uses of approved medical products to fight the spread of the virus. – Children’s Health Defense
There are only 7,000 cases of Monkeypox — how is that a health emergency? Well here is why — if they declare an emergency, then they can bypass clinical trials and give an Emergency Use Authorization. As soon as a drug gets an EUA — it is permanently approved and will never be retracted.
The CDC and WHO plan to bring the same accuracy to their analysis of Monkeypox that it brought to covid. That is, they are striving for a zero percent accuracy.
I wonder if the following statistics or sexual habits might have something to do with the spread of monkeypox among gay men.
What Might Cause Monkeypox to Spread Among Gay Men?
The following quotation is another item left out of the article that I am critiquing.
28% of homosexual men had more than 1000 partners: “Bell and Weinberg reported evidence of widespread sexual compulsion among homosexual men. 83% of the homosexual men surveyed estimated they had had sex with 50 or more partners in their lifetime, 43% estimated they had sex with 500 or more partners; 28% with 1,000 or more partners. Bell and Weinberg p 308.” (exodusglobalalliance.org/ishomosexualityhealthyp60.php)
79% of homosexual men say over half of sex partners are strangers: “The survey showed 79% of the respondents saying that over half of their sexual partners were strangers. Seventy percent said that over half of their sexual partners were people with whom they had sex only once. Bell and Weinberg pp.308-309.” (exodusglobalalliance.org/ishomosexualityhealthyp60.php)
Modal range for homosexual sex partners 101-500: “In their study of the sexual profiles of 2,583 older homosexuals published in Journal of Sex Research, Paul Van de Ven et al. found that “the modal range for number of sexual partners ever [of homosexuals] was 101–500.” In addition, 10.2 percent to 15.7 percent had between 501 and 1000 partners. A further 10.2 percent to 15.7 percent reported having had more than 1000 lifetime sexual partners. Paul Van de Ven et al., “A Comparative Demographic and Sexual Profile of Older Homosexually Active Men,” Journal of Sex Research 34 (1997): 354.”
1978 study, 78% of gay men ad more than 100 partners, 28% more than 1000: “A far-ranging study of homosexual men published in 1978 revealed that 75 percent of self-identified, white, gay men admitted to having sex with more than 100 different males in their lifetime: 15 percent claimed 100-249 sex partners; 17 percent claimed 250-499; 15 percent claimed 500-999, and 28 percent claimed more than 1,000-lifetime male sex partners. By 1984, after the AIDS epidemic had taken hold, homosexual men were reportedly curtailing promiscuity, but not by much. Instead of more than 6 partners per month in 1982, the average non-monogamous respondent in San Francisco reported having about 4 partners per month in 1984.” – CARM
There is an enormous difference between the number of partners of heterosexual and homosexual men. I can speak for all heterosexual men when I say, “We would love to have more partners.”
But women tend to put a cap on their partner number.
As Stephen Fry once said..
“I feel bad for heterosexual men — they have to have sex with people who aren’t that interested in sex with them.”
All men who marry find out how low women’s interest in sex is — it just takes a while for the realization to set in.
Elaine faked it with Jerry — and he did not even know. If Elaine liked sex that much, why did she have to fake orgasms?
Children Are Getting Monkey Pox from Gay Men?
Last month, Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-Ga.) suggested that children who contract the disease have been assaulted by gay or bisexual men, asking her 1 million Twitter followers: “If Monkeypox is a sexually transmitted disease, why are kids getting it?”
“We know exactly what causes this Monkeypox,” Rep. Lauren Boebert (R-Colo.) said Thursday during an appearance on BlazeTV’s “The News & Why it Matters.”
But people who speak openly about where monkeypox is coming from, Boebert said, run the risk of being called “bigots.” – The Hill
People have the right to ask this question. It is not a bad question. Gay men are the super-spreaders — so they are the place to look for transmission to other groups.
CDC Has to Acknowledge Something Rather than Simply Stating It as a Fact?
The CDC and World Health Organization (WHO) have acknowledged that the disease is disproportionately affecting men who have sex with men and last month called for gay and bisexual men to limit their number of sexual partners to reduce the spread. – The Hill
Why do the CDC and WHO only have to “acknowledge” this?
It sounds like the CDC and WHO don’t want to admit this.
I thought we were following the science – not following the politically correct pathway. All I keep hearing is following the science. However, acknowledge seems that the CDC and WHO are a bit bashful about admitting this.
Who Said, “Spread Exclusively?”
But framing the disease as one that is spread exclusively by those in the LGBTQ+ community through sexual contact is likely to have serious consequences, said Jay Brown, senior vice president of programs, research and training at the Human Rights Campaign, an LGBTQ+ rights group. – The Hill
This is a highly deceptive part of the article, and I can’t recall anyone proposing that it was exclusively gay men.
Did I say that anywhere in this article? I stated the statistics, which is around 95%. Exclusively would be 100%.
This author has a lot of problems using precise language, and again — the author never explained the percentage.
Now, why did the author exclude that information? Does this article really qualify as health education?
Perpetuating a Stigma?
“It’s continuing to perpetuate stigma against the community,” he said. “It’s harming LGBTQ kids who see it, and that is unfortunate. Nobody benefits from that.” – The Hill
I don’t see the stigma. And how is it harming LGBTQ kids — first of all, this is not an LGBTQ issue? Lesbians are at very low risk (they have fewer partners than heterosexuals).
This is an issue for gay men. Why is the article including the rest of the team? Couldn’t I say that to say LGBTQ is stigmatizing lesbians?
As far as no one benefitting — the reality is that gay men with large numbers of partners are monkeypox superspreaders. Monkeypox is not much of an issue for heterosexuals.
- Logical and effective health policy would mean placing the focus should be on the group that is responsible and on changing behavior there.
- This is far more analytical than telling people who are barely at risk that they need to take precautions.
Inappropriate Contact or Molestation?
Brown said he worries especially about the suggestion that children who contract monkeypox have had inappropriate contact with gay or bisexual men. The disease, according to the CDC, can also be spread through holding and cuddling, or through shared items like towels, bedding, cups or utensils. – The Hill
The disease would not be concentrated in gay men if that were true. Whether the question is worrying does not change the fact the question is logical to ask.
“We have families,” Brown said. “We’re going to give our families hugs and we’re going to tuck our kids into bed at night. The use of scare tactics and misinformation against the community is really, really harmful.” – The Hill
How is that misinformation?
It is accurate. This question is valid if your group is 63 times more likely to get the disease than any other group. Does the term misinformation now mean information that is not politically correct? Because reading this — that seems to be the implied definition of the word.
Anyone Can Get Monkeypox?
That kind of framing can also negatively affect non-LGBTQ+ people, he said, who may consider themselves at lower risk of contracting monkeypox. In truth, “anyone can get it,” Brown said, citing reporting from the CDC. – The Hill
This is the same non-analytical thinking used to scare groups at very low risk during the AIDS crisis. AIDS was concentrated in two groups — gay men and IV drug users. That is where the effort should have been concentrated, not in getting the rest of the population to change their behaviors when they are at a tiny risk. 63 times more likely does not translate to “anyone.”
This quote above is highly deceptive and creates a false history of what happened during the AIDS crisis.
Where is the Disinformation?
For many gay and bisexual men, the spread of monkeypox disinformation harkens back to the early years of the HIV/AIDS epidemic, when government messaging was inaccurate and inconsistent. – The Hill
The messaging was inaccurate in that it generalized the risk of the disease to the overall population that was at very low risk. How can gays possibly complain that they were stigmatized — when the entire policy was to give people at very low risk the false information that they were at the same risk as gay men?
Demonizing the Superspreaders?
Venton Jones, a member of a CDC and Health Resources and Services Administration (HRSA) advisory committee on HIV, Viral Hepatitis, and STD prevention, told Changing America that “demonizing” gay men isn’t going to solve anything.
“We really have to get back to conversations that are rooted in science and facts and the real needs of our community,” Jones said. “It’s unfortunate when these issues are politicized in a way that brings harm to our communities.” – The Hill
Who politicized the issue? Other people and I have been declaring the statistics on incidence. If that is not rooted in science, then what is?
Is telling 98.5% of the population that they are at equal risk as gay men rooted in science? What would be the basis for saying such a thing — which appears to be what this article is arguing for.
It seems Jones means “rooted in PC culture.” Is that what science means now — whatever happens to be politically correct?
This is a definition of science.
Science is the pursuit and application of knowledge and understanding of the natural and social world following a systematic methodology based on evidence.
Scientific methodology includes the following:Objective observation: Measurement and data (possibly although not necessarily using mathematics as a tool)
Evidence
Experiment and/or observation as benchmarks for testing hypotheses
Induction: reasoning to establish general rules or conclusions drawn from facts or examples
Repetition
Critical analysis
Verification and testing: critical exposure to scrutiny, peer review and assessment – Science Council
Is there anything in this definition about protecting people’s feelings or aligning with politically correct ideas? Is science required to be pro-Democrat, pro-gay, pro-trans?
Liberals seem to be under the impression that science is whatever supports their agenda. Liberals have a phrase called “my truth.” This implies that truth is relative, and their truth differs from any objective truth. Under this ideology, one can have “my science” as well. And, of course, liberal science is not the same as someone else’s science — and it is increasingly obvious it’s not science at all. This is like people that work in marketing saying they bought a BMW for “German engineering.”
Furthermore, who is demonizing gay men? Did I say they are demons? Did I say that their high number of partners is immoral, like a demon, or that they should be thrown from the top of buildings, as do Muslims? My website has many more bad things to say about IBM, the FDA, or Bill Gates than gay men. Instead, I am observing the incidence of monkeypox in gay men and analyzing that fact. I am critiquing the CDC and WHO and this article for providing false information to the public. So if I am demonizing anyone, it is the health authorities.
Undeniably, gay men have many more sex partners than any other group. These are partner numbers heterosexual men would love to have — but as Fry said — we are stuck having sex with women. We don’t get to “Live the Vida Loca” with endless glowstick parties and our asses hanging out of the back of a French-cut bikini bottom. Our lifestyles require methodically complimenting women on their appearance, telling them behinds do not look fat in pants, listening to their views on mysticism like the law of attraction and why we need to read The Secret and not be closed-minded, and dealing with highly demanding punitive mothers-in-law. There are just a lot more moving parts for us.
The lifestyle and partner number — mean more “skin-on-skin contact.” If someone can explain to me how many more sexual partners do not lead to “skin-on-skin contact,” I am all ears.
The CDC Talks Next Level Hypocrisy About a Presenting a “Fear-Based Narrative”
“When we talk about monkeypox, we really have to acknowledge not only the need for education, but also acknowledge the harm that comes from perpetuating a fear-based narrative that is not rooted in how we make our communities healthy.” – The Hill
The CDC just got done promoting a fake pandemic where the average age of mortality was 81.5. As I cover in the article How The Common Cold Has a Higher Death Rate Than Covid For Those at End of Life, they scared people into wearing masks when there was no evidence they did anything to limit the spread as I cover in the article How Effective Are Masks in Reducing the Spread of the Coronavirus?, they pushed people to take a highly experimental vaccine that the trials submitted to the FDA showed did not work How Effective Are The Covid 19 Vaccines?, they supported a lockdown for which there the established literature did not support as I cover in the article How There Was Never Evidence that Lockdowns Work to Combat Viruses.
Is the CDC really in a position to accuse others of perpetuating a “fear-based narrative?” So when the evidence is that covid is not a big deal and that the vaccines are more dangerous than covid, one has to follow the science and turnover society to covid controls and get vaccinated. However, when it turns out a basically irrelevant disease like monkeypox spread predominantly among gay men, the science is to tell the rest of the population they are at risk and try to hide the statistics from the public — in order to meet some politically correct outcome.